Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. The result is a live representation of a team's various playoff, division and seed chances, along with an updated projection of the final standings. But if Allen plays to his capabilities, the Bills should be the team to beat. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? 5, 84%. Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. 1, 79.7%. Jaguars vs. 5. Reason for hope: The 49ers are the hottest team in football, having won 10 straight after stumbling to a 3-4 start. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 3.1%. Week 17 NFC playoff-clinching scenarios New York Giants (9-6-1) Result: The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts, marking their first playoff berth since 2016. He's a very accurate quarterback, but he would make one of those 'Why did he throw that?' The Bucs are in. "I felt like Geno just had a little bit more command over that offense. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, entire experience here, as we track the NFC and AFC playoff races in Week 18. The story of Week 17 is a playoff picture that comes slightly more into focus but still remains blurry heading into the season's final week. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. In a Playoff Spot 1. NFL Home Scores Schedule Standings Stats Teams NFL Draft NFL FPI More It sounds like a lot, but FPI gives the Colts a 80.4% chance of making the playoffs. Full playoff schedule | More content . Then they need a loss by either the Titans, Ravens, Browns or Dolphins. ESPN.com national NFL writer; ESPN.com NFC North reporter, 2008-2013; "He's a good player, but he's not the same caliber of pass-rusher that [Joey] Bosa is. Playing with a roster depleted by COVID-19 protocols, the Browns lost to a one-win team, and they are hanging on to their playoff chances by a thread. This will be the first playoff meeting between Baltimore and Cincinnati. MIN-CHI: Bears 34, Vikings 24 The possible permutations of how those 32 games could go are virtually endless. -- Jordan Raanan, What is most difficult about defending running back Saquon Barkley? Playoff Machine . Most intriguing player on MLB teams (7) Packers at (2) 49ers Why the Packers' transition to Jordan Love, whenever it happens, will require patience, A new home for Michael Thomas? Even if Jackson returns for the postseason, no one knows how rusty he'll be and how this injury will affect his mobility. Let's take a look into the FPI's crystal ball. Reason for concern: The Jaguars' pass rush has been one of the worst in the league, and they are without one of their best pass-rushers in Dawuane Smoot (torn right Achilles). Ravens GM says he covets QBs, Montana SB jersey breaks Brady's auction record, Colts GM pins moving up to 'guy worthy of it', McCarthy: 'New voice' calling plays will help Dak, Out of dark, Rodgers vows decision coming soon, Survey: Vikes, Fins, Raiders top FA report cards, Chargers GM halts speculation: Allen staying put. 1 seed. -- NFC player. Las Vegas Raiders (7-10) Carolina Panthers (6-11) When the Bills quarterback is playing at his best, this team is incredibly difficult to stop. The Titans failed to clinch the AFC South title on Sunday night in losing to the Packers, but they'll have multiple opportunities to do so in Week 17, thanks to the Colts' loss in Pittsburgh. 8. . Since quarterback Dak Prescott's return from a thumb injury, the Cowboys are averaging the most points per game (32.5) and have been superb on third down (52.3% conversion percentage). He has the most interceptions in the league this year. So we're focusing on one specific scenario: chalk. 4. Jaguars come back to steal AFC South crown: It wasn't pretty. The projected final standings will update regularly, and you can track the most interesting races and see how the playoff picture progresses as we move through the regular season's final weekend. Now that they've rediscovered the defense and run game that went missing during their November and December swoon, they appear to be heading into the playoffs on the upswing. And while they've shown improvement in that area of late, that's come against teams that don't have strong run games. MIA-NE: Patriots 13, Dolphins 10 KC-LV: Chiefs 35, Raiders 27 Miami makes for a dangerous No. The 49ers didn't clinch a playoff spot on Sunday, but they can do it in Week 18 with a win at the Rams or a loss by the Saints. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers clinched the NFC South title with a .500 record after defeating the Carolina Panthers on Sunday. Combine: What draft talk happens? MIN-GB: Packers 23, Vikings 16 ESPN's NFL Playoff Machine is BACK!!! Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? Davante Adams No. Chicago Bears (5-12) Seven teams from each conference will make it to the postseason. Using ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI), we determined the most likely seed combination in each conference. before being traded to Miami in the offseason. He was just able to get guys in spots, in spaces and he knew where the ball should be going. Ravens Compete for $275,000 of prizes, including $15,000 for the top score each week. The New York Giants also punched their postseason ticket, as their rout of the Indianapolis Colts clinched New York's first playoff berth since 2016. 1 WR? Can the Lions fix their defense? 7. Buffalo Bills (14-3) 11. Indianapolis Colts (4-12-1). Last season's top seeds were upset in the divisional round, and the No. The Baltimore Ravens and the Cincinnati Bengals are looking to make final pushes in their quests for the AFC North title. The Jets fall to the Seahawks, knocking New York out of the race. Atlanta, meanwhile, is clinging to its playoff hopes (a 3% chance, per ESPN's FPI . FPI chances to make playoffs: 75.3% NO-PHI: Eagles 44, Saints 27 Who snuck into the playoffs? The Bucs opened the season by defeating the Cowboys 19-3 on the road in Week 1 and Brady is undefeated (7-0) against Dallas in his career. Super Bowl odds: +3000 For football fans, the annual unveiling of ESPN's Playoff Machine is as much of a holiday as Christmas or Thanksgiving. NYJ-MIA: Dolphins 19, Jets 17 ET, NBC). The Los Angeles Chargers got some help in the form of losses by the Jets, Patriots and Raiders in Week 16, and took advantage with a rout of the Indianapolis Colts on Monday night to reach the playoffs. FPI puts the chances of it happening at 5%. Playoff Machine The Bucs clinched a playoff berth on Saturday by crushing the Lions, but the Saints' win on Friday eliminated them from the NFC South title race. New England Patriots (8-9) NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? Win? Could the Cowboys look at a running back in first round again? This is the first playoff meeting between the teams. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. 3. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. NFL draft questions for teams in the top 10: Will the Colts trade up? 1. The defense has been one of the top units in the league all season, despite a couple of hiccups, but the offense has pulled its share of the weight since running back Christian McCaffrey came aboard in October. Mahomes wins second SB MVP At the time, the FPI gave Green Bay only a 3% chance to reach the postseason. USA TODAY. Our guide to all 14 teams, from the favorites to the underdogs, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? -- Alaina Getzenberg, What's the best way to keep Allen from beating you? But the door to the No. The Bills sit at 12-3 -- the same record as Kansas City but with a head-to-head tiebreaker over the Chiefs and a game up on the Bengals, their Week 17 opponent. Can the Lions fix their defense? Los Angeles Chargers (10-7) The playoffs begin Jan. 14, with 14 teams making . FPI chances to make playoffs: 59.7% They moved up to the second spot temporarily, and they will remain there entering Week 17 if the Bills lose Monday night to the Patriots. -- AFC player. The Steelers snapped out of their extended funk at halftime of Sunday's game against the Colts, roaring back from a three-touchdown deficit to win and clinch the AFC North. Everything is on the table. Quarterback Joe Burrow is playing at a high level. There are some times where he's trying to make the big play instead of taking the checkdown. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. Tennessee Titans, 6-3 (AFC South leader) 4. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 21.7%. CAR-NO: Saints 21, Panthers 20 Dallas Cowboys (13-4) Overall, the Bengals are in a stronger position to make another run at the Lombardi Trophy. Here are the playoff-clinching scenarios for Week 17 as teams try to reach Super Bowl LVII on Feb. 12 at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona. Simulate your own scenarios and check the latest playoff picture. If he isn't, the Dolphins will start either seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson or veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater in the wild-card round. Result: Defeated the Chicago Bears 35-13 to clinch the AFC East title. When the dust settled, the Cardinals were atop the NFC West and the Packers were holding the top spot in the conference. Web Use the NFL Playoff Machine from ESPN to predict the NFL Playoff matchups by generating the various matchup scenarios based on your selections. -- Adam Teicher, What makes Travis Kelce the toughest tight end in the game? FPI chances to win division: Eliminated -- Jamison Hensley, What has Smith done for the Ravens' defense? Seattle clinches playoff spot with win over the Los Angeles Rams and the Packers' loss to the Lions. Can Giants find a No. The win sets up a spicy Justin Herbert vs. Lawrence wild-card matchup. In the wake of the cancellation of Monday's Bills-Bengals game, NFL owners on Friday approved a plan that leaves open the possibility of a neutral-site AFC Championship Game. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. 10. There's a 9% chance the NFC seeds are in the exact order that's written below, and there's a 12% chance of the same occurring for the AFC. Kansas City Chiefs, 7-2 (AFC West leader) 2. Projecting the futures of Kirk Cousins, Dalvin Cook and other Vikings veterans. FPI chance to make Super Bowl: 11.2%. 1 seed, losing to the Dallas Cowboys. Reason for hope: The Eagles have one of the best rosters in football, an MVP candidate at quarterback in Jalen Hurts and an offense that should be able to adapt to any style. First-game outlook: The Bengals get a rematch with the Ravens, whom they just vanquished, as Cincinnati will host Baltimore in the wild-card round on Sunday (8:15 p.m. Result: Defeated the Atlanta Falcons 17-9 and clinched a playoff berth after losses by the New York Jets and New England Patriots. Reason for hope: Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback. The defense has not been as dominant but should be closer to 100% with the returns of linebacker Leighton Vander Esch and defensive tackle Johnathan Hankins, which will help the run defense. FPI gives it about a 13% chance of happening. NFL Week 17 playoff picture and clinching scenarios: Bucs win NFC South; Giants clinch wild card, Top draft prospect Carter charged in fatal crash, Trade Lamar? Reason for concern: For most of the season, the Vikings' defense has ranked last in the NFL in yards allowed. NYG-PHI: Eagles 31, Giants 15 Arizona Cardinals (4-13). Cowboys, Super Bowl odds: +330 But what he does when Bosa is in the lineup is he gives them a reliable rusher from the other edge. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers aren't out just yet. Of the teams still alive, Dallas has the lowest FPI playoff odds at 16.2%. Most likely seed, per FPI: No. 2. Baltimore will need this defense to be at the top of its game to get through an AFC playoff field that includes Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert. FPI is giving Green Bay an 82% chance to lock up the No. DAL-WSH: Cowboys 47, Commanders 7. Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? Atlanta Falcons (6-11) Bengals beat out Ravens for AFC North: In recent weeks, it has felt inevitable that the red-hot Bengals would win this division over the stumbling Ravens. 1 seeds? Which first-round prospects should Raiders focus on at combine? The Giants clinched a wild-card spot with a 38-10 win over the Colts marking their first. They'll need a win over the Rams in Week 17 to do it (37.4% chance, per FPI). That was against Baltimore early this season. These matchups are set. The Steelers are eliminated from playoff contention with the Dolphins' win over the Jets. The Saints avoided playoff elimination by defeating the Panthers. 32 NFL players who could change teams this offseason, Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent, 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. I think that's probably one of his best attributes. More teams have claimed their spots in the NFC and AFC. It's not likely, but it's also not out of the question. 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